GamePlan Science
vs
Week 9
2026-11-08
Bank of America Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DEN wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
CAR wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28DENCAR

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DEN 54%Tie 3%43% CAR
DEN most likely
17
CAR most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DEN-0.017
CAR-0.112
league avg -0.47-0.31-0.150.010.160.32 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DEN+0.126
CAR-0.084
league avg -0.38-0.22-0.070.090.250.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)