GamePlan Science
vs
Week 9
2026-11-08
Hard Rock Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DET wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
MIA wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28DETMIA

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DET 53%Tie 3%44% MIA
DET most likely
17
MIA most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DET+0.124
MIA-0.082
league avg -0.42-0.25-0.070.110.290.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DET+0.002
MIA-0.063
league avg -0.36-0.23-0.100.030.160.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)