GamePlan Science
vs
Week 9
2026-11-08
Gillette Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
GB wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
NE wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35GBNE

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
GB 38%Tie 3%59% NE
GB most likely
17
NE most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

GB+0.123
NE+0.182
league avg -0.22-0.070.080.230.370.52 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

GB-0.044
NE+0.032
league avg -0.35-0.21-0.080.060.190.33 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)