SoFi Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerHOU wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
LAC wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsHOU 47%Tie 3%50% LAC
HOU most likely
17
LAC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
HOU-0.040
LAC+0.010
Defensive Strength
HOU+0.173
LAC+0.084