M&T Bank Stadium · Thursday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerJAX wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
BAL wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsJAX 45%Tie 3%52% BAL
JAX most likely
17
BAL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
JAX+0.076
BAL+0.062
Defensive Strength
JAX+0.063
BAL-0.029