GamePlan Science
vs
Week 9
2026-11-08
Levi's Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LV wins 2,200
of 10,000 simulations
SF wins 7,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35LVSF

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LV 28%Tie 3%69% SF
LV most likely
10
SF most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LV-0.295
SF+0.144
league avg -0.65-0.43-0.200.030.250.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LV-0.019
SF-0.040
league avg -0.33-0.21-0.090.030.150.27 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)