GamePlan Science
vs
Week 9
2026-11-08
Lincoln Financial Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NYG wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
PHI wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35NYGPHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NYG 36%Tie 3%61% PHI
NYG most likely
17
PHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NYG+0.032
PHI-0.038
league avg -0.37-0.22-0.070.080.230.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NYG-0.058
PHI+0.143
league avg -0.35-0.19-0.030.120.280.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)