GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYJ wins 2,000
of 10,000 simulations
KC wins 7,700
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYJ 25%Tie 3%72% KC
NYJ most likely
10
KC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYJ-0.255
KC+0.025
Defensive Strength
NYJ-0.157
KC+0.027