GamePlan Science
vs
Week 9
2026-11-08
Soldier Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
TB wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35TBCHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
TB 36%Tie 3%61% CHI
TB most likely
17
CHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

TB-0.047
CHI+0.112
league avg -0.38-0.22-0.060.110.270.43 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

TB-0.021
CHI-0.044
league avg -0.33-0.21-0.090.030.140.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)