MetLife Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBUF wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
NYJ wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBUF 67%Tie 2%30% NYJ
BUF most likely
24
NYJ most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BUF+0.215
NYJ-0.255
Defensive Strength
BUF-0.029
NYJ-0.157