Caesars Superdome · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerCAR wins 4,100
of 10,000 simulations
NO wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsCAR 43%Tie 3%53% NO
CAR most likely
10
NO most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
CAR-0.112
NO-0.174
Defensive Strength
CAR-0.084
NO+0.056