GamePlan Science
vs
Week 10
2026-11-15
Huntington Bank Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
HOU wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
CLE wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28HOUCLE

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
HOU 54%Tie 3%42% CLE
HOU most likely
17
CLE most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

HOU-0.040
CLE-0.342
league avg -0.69-0.50-0.30-0.110.090.28 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

HOU+0.173
CLE+0.154
league avg -0.14-0.020.110.230.350.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)