Nissan Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerJAX wins 6,700
of 10,000 simulations
TEN wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsJAX 62%Tie 3%35% TEN
JAX most likely
17
TEN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
JAX+0.076
TEN-0.229
Defensive Strength
JAX+0.063
TEN-0.091