Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerKC wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
ATL wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsKC 52%Tie 3%45% ATL
KC most likely
17
ATL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
KC+0.025
ATL-0.083
Defensive Strength
KC+0.027
ATL-0.004