M&T Bank Stadium · Monday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerLAC wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
BAL wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsLAC 43%Tie 3%54% BAL
LAC most likely
17
BAL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
LAC+0.010
BAL+0.062
Defensive Strength
LAC+0.084
BAL-0.029