GamePlan Science
vs
Week 10
2026-11-15
State Farm Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LA wins 6,400
of 10,000 simulations
ARI wins 3,200
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35LAARI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LA 64%Tie 3%33% ARI
LA most likely
24
ARI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LA+0.253
ARI-0.066
league avg -0.41-0.21-0.010.190.390.59 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LA+0.059
ARI-0.104
league avg -0.40-0.25-0.090.060.210.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)