Lucas Oil Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIA wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
IND wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIA 30%Tie 3%67% IND
MIA most likely
17
IND most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIA-0.082
IND+0.241
Defensive Strength
MIA-0.063
IND-0.040