GamePlan Science
vs
Week 10
2026-11-15
FC Bayern Munich Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NE wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
DET wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28NEDET

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NE 49%Tie 3%48% DET
NE most likely
17
DET most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NE+0.182
DET+0.124
league avg -0.22-0.070.080.230.370.52 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NE+0.032
DET+0.002
league avg -0.29-0.16-0.040.080.210.33 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)