Paycor Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerPIT wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
CIN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsPIT 51%Tie 3%47% CIN
PIT most likely
17
CIN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
PIT+0.017
CIN+0.032
Defensive Strength
PIT-0.008
CIN-0.128