GamePlan Science
vs
Week 10
2026-11-12
MetLife Stadium · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
WAS wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
NYG wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35WASNYG

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
WAS 38%Tie 3%59% NYG
WAS most likely
17
NYG most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

WAS-0.013
NYG+0.032
league avg -0.35-0.21-0.060.090.230.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

WAS-0.157
NYG-0.058
league avg -0.45-0.31-0.18-0.040.100.23 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)