GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerARI wins 3,200
of 10,000 simulations
KC wins 6,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsARI 34%Tie 3%63% KC
ARI most likely
10
KC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
ARI-0.066
KC+0.025
Defensive Strength
ARI-0.104
KC+0.027