GamePlan Science
vs
Week 11
2026-11-22
Bank of America Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
BAL wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
CAR wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28BALCAR

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
BAL 51%Tie 3%46% CAR
BAL most likely
17
CAR most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

BAL+0.062
CAR-0.112
league avg -0.47-0.29-0.120.050.220.40 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

BAL-0.029
CAR-0.084
league avg -0.38-0.25-0.120.010.140.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)