GamePlan Science
vs
Week 11
2026-11-23
Northwest Stadium · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CIN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
WAS wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CINWAS

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CIN 48%Tie 3%49% WAS
CIN most likely
17
WAS most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CIN+0.032
WAS-0.013
league avg -0.35-0.21-0.060.080.230.37 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CIN-0.128
WAS-0.157
league avg -0.45-0.32-0.20-0.070.050.17 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)