Reliant Stadium · Thursday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerIND wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
HOU wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsIND 47%Tie 3%50% HOU
IND most likely
17
HOU most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
IND+0.241
HOU-0.040
Defensive Strength
IND-0.040
HOU+0.173