MetLife Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerJAX wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
NYG wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsJAX 50%Tie 3%47% NYG
JAX most likely
17
NYG most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
JAX+0.076
NYG+0.032
Defensive Strength
JAX+0.063
NYG-0.058