GamePlan Science
vs
Week 11
2026-11-22
Empower Field at Mile High · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LV wins 2,300
of 10,000 simulations
DEN wins 7,400
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35LVDEN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LV 29%Tie 2%69% DEN
LV most likely
10
DEN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LV-0.295
DEN-0.017
league avg -0.65-0.46-0.26-0.070.120.32 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LV-0.019
DEN+0.126
league avg -0.31-0.17-0.020.120.260.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)