Highmark Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerMIA wins 2,700
of 10,000 simulations
BUF wins 7,000
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsMIA 31%Tie 3%67% BUF
MIA most likely
17
BUF most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
MIA-0.082
BUF+0.215
Defensive Strength
MIA-0.063
BUF-0.029