GamePlan Science
vs
Week 11
2026-11-22
Estadio Banorte · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
MIN wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
SF wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28MINSF

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
MIN 42%Tie 3%55% SF
MIN most likely
17
SF most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

MIN-0.125
SF+0.144
league avg -0.47-0.28-0.090.100.290.48 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

MIN+0.171
SF-0.040
league avg -0.33-0.17-0.010.150.310.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)