GamePlan Science
vs
Week 11
2026-11-22
Soldier Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NO wins 3,000
of 10,000 simulations
CHI wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
2 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35NOCHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NO 35%Tie 3%62% CHI
NO most likely
17
CHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NO-0.174
CHI+0.112
league avg -0.53-0.34-0.150.050.240.43 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NO+0.056
CHI-0.044
league avg -0.33-0.20-0.060.070.210.34 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)