GamePlan Science
vs
Week 11
2026-11-22
SoFi Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
NYJ wins 2,400
of 10,000 simulations
LAC wins 7,400
of 10,000 simulations
2 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35NYJLAC

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
NYJ 27%Tie 3%70% LAC
NYJ most likely
10
LAC most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

NYJ-0.255
LAC+0.010
league avg -0.60-0.41-0.22-0.030.160.35 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

NYJ-0.157
LAC+0.084
league avg -0.45-0.28-0.120.050.220.38 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)