GamePlan Science
vs
Week 11
2026-11-22
Lincoln Financial Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
PIT wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
PHI wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28PITPHI

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
PIT 38%Tie 3%59% PHI
PIT most likely
17
PHI most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

PIT+0.017
PHI-0.038
league avg -0.37-0.23-0.080.070.220.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

PIT-0.008
PHI+0.143
league avg -0.30-0.15-0.010.140.290.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)