Ford Field · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTB wins 3,600
of 10,000 simulations
DET wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTB 36%Tie 3%61% DET
TB most likely
17
DET most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TB-0.047
DET+0.124
Defensive Strength
TB-0.021
DET+0.002