GamePlan Science
vs
Week 11
2026-11-22
AT&T Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
TEN wins 3,300
of 10,000 simulations
DAL wins 6,400
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35TENDAL

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
TEN 35%Tie 3%63% DAL
TEN most likely
17
DAL most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

TEN-0.229
DAL+0.196
league avg -0.59-0.36-0.140.090.310.54 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

TEN-0.091
DAL-0.211
league avg -0.51-0.37-0.23-0.090.050.19 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)