GamePlan Science
vs
Week 12
2026-11-29
U.S. Bank Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
ATL wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
MIN wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28ATLMIN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
ATL 38%Tie 3%59% MIN
ATL most likely
10
MIN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

ATL-0.083
MIN-0.125
league avg -0.47-0.32-0.18-0.040.110.25 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

ATL-0.004
MIN+0.171
league avg -0.30-0.140.010.160.310.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)