Reliant Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBAL wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
HOU wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBAL 41%Tie 3%56% HOU
BAL most likely
17
HOU most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BAL+0.062
HOU-0.040
Defensive Strength
BAL-0.029
HOU+0.173