GamePlan Science
vs
Week 12
2026-11-30
Raymond James Stadium · Monday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CAR wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
TB wins 6,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35CARTB

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CAR 39%Tie 3%58% TB
CAR most likely
17
TB most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CAR-0.112
TB-0.047
league avg -0.47-0.31-0.16-0.010.140.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CAR-0.084
TB-0.021
league avg -0.38-0.25-0.120.010.130.26 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)