GamePlan Science
vs
Week 12
2026-11-26
Ford Field · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CHI wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
DET wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CHIDET

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CHI 43%Tie 3%54% DET
CHI most likely
24
DET most likely
24

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CHI+0.112
DET+0.124
league avg -0.22-0.080.060.190.330.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CHI-0.044
DET+0.002
league avg -0.33-0.21-0.080.040.170.29 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)