GamePlan Science
vs
Week 12
2026-11-27
Acrisure Stadium · Friday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
DEN wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
PIT wins 4,800
of 10,000 simulations
4 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28DENPIT

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
DEN 46%Tie 3%50% PIT
DEN most likely
17
PIT most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

DEN-0.017
PIT+0.017
league avg -0.35-0.21-0.070.080.220.36 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

DEN+0.126
PIT-0.008
league avg -0.30-0.16-0.020.120.270.41 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)