Highmark Stadium · Thursday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerKC wins 3,500
of 10,000 simulations
BUF wins 6,100
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsKC 38%Tie 3%59% BUF
KC most likely
17
BUF most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
KC+0.025
BUF+0.215
Defensive Strength
KC+0.027
BUF-0.029