GamePlan Science
vs
Week 12
2026-11-29
Huntington Bank Field · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
LV wins 3,800
of 10,000 simulations
CLE wins 5,900
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28LVCLE

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
LV 38%Tie 4%58% CLE
LV most likely
10
CLE most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

LV-0.295
CLE-0.342
league avg -0.69-0.54-0.39-0.24-0.090.06 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

LV-0.019
CLE+0.154
league avg -0.31-0.16-0.010.140.290.45 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)