SoFi Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNE wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
LAC wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNE 50%Tie 3%47% LAC
NE most likely
17
LAC most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NE+0.182
LAC+0.010
Defensive Strength
NE+0.032
LAC+0.084