Paycor Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNO wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
CIN wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNO 45%Tie 3%53% CIN
NO most likely
17
CIN most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NO-0.174
CIN+0.032
Defensive Strength
NO+0.056
CIN-0.128