Lucas Oil Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYG wins 3,300
of 10,000 simulations
IND wins 6,400
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYG 35%Tie 3%63% IND
NYG most likely
17
IND most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYG+0.032
IND+0.241
Defensive Strength
NYG-0.058
IND-0.040