Hard Rock Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerNYJ wins 2,900
of 10,000 simulations
MIA wins 6,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsNYJ 32%Tie 3%65% MIA
NYJ most likely
10
MIA most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
NYJ-0.255
MIA-0.082
Defensive Strength
NYJ-0.157
MIA-0.063