GamePlan Science
vs
Week 12
2026-11-26
AT&T Stadium · Thursday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
PHI wins 5,500
of 10,000 simulations
DAL wins 4,200
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-35-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28+35PHIDAL

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
PHI 51%Tie 3%46% DAL
PHI most likely
17
DAL most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

PHI-0.038
DAL+0.196
league avg -0.37-0.19-0.010.170.360.54 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

PHI+0.143
DAL-0.211
league avg -0.51-0.32-0.130.060.250.44 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)