EverBank Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerTEN wins 2,400
of 10,000 simulations
JAX wins 7,300
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsTEN 26%Tie 3%71% JAX
TEN most likely
10
JAX most likely
24
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
TEN-0.229
JAX+0.076
Defensive Strength
TEN-0.091
JAX+0.063