State Farm Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerWAS wins 4,500
of 10,000 simulations
ARI wins 5,200
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsWAS 44%Tie 3%53% ARI
WAS most likely
17
ARI most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
WAS-0.013
ARI-0.066
Defensive Strength
WAS-0.157
ARI-0.104