Gillette Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerBUF wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
NE wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsBUF 42%Tie 3%55% NE
BUF most likely
17
NE most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
BUF+0.215
NE+0.182
Defensive Strength
BUF-0.029
NE+0.032