GamePlan Science
vs
Week 13
2026-12-06
U.S. Bank Stadium · Sunday

Simulated Outcomes

each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winner
CAR wins 3,100
of 10,000 simulations
MIN wins 6,600
of 10,000 simulations
3 ties-28-24-21-17-14-10-7-3TIE+3+7+10+14+17+21+24+28CARMIN

Win Probability

from the model's predicted score distributions
CAR 35%Tie 3%61% MIN
CAR most likely
10
MIN most likely
17

Team Strength Comparison

season posteriors for this matchup

Offensive Strength

CAR-0.112
MIN-0.125
league avg -0.47-0.32-0.18-0.040.100.24 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)

Defensive Strength

CAR-0.084
MIN+0.171
league avg -0.38-0.21-0.040.130.300.47 Team strength (Bayesian estimate)