Mercedes-Benz Stadium · Sunday
Simulated Outcomes
each dot = 100 of 10,000 simulations · colored by winnerDET wins 5,800
of 10,000 simulations
ATL wins 3,900
of 10,000 simulations
Win Probability
from the model's predicted score distributionsDET 55%Tie 3%41% ATL
DET most likely
17
ATL most likely
17
Team Strength Comparison
season posteriors for this matchupOffensive Strength
DET+0.124
ATL-0.083
Defensive Strength
DET+0.002
ATL-0.004